GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY
INTERNATIONAL COMEX NEWS
- Gold bugs may get a surprise break from U.S. economic weakening, but more data is needed to verify that. The spot price of bullion was barely changed while futures of gold rose on Wednesday as the dollar slid after U.S. retail sales tumbled 1.2% in December, the Commerce Department reported. Economists had forecast a gain of 0.1% for the period. Spot gold, reflective of trades in physical bullion, slid by 0.5 cent to $1,315.05 per ounce by 1:19 PM ET (18:19 GMT).
- The Tennessee Valley Authority voted on Thursday to close two aging coal-fired power plants, including one supplied by a company led by a major supporter of President Donald Trump, who had urged the U.S.-owned utility to keep it open. “It is not about coal. This decision is about economics,” said President and Chief Executive Bill Johnson, who is retiring from the TVA.
- Oil prices rallied on Friday, with Brent crude futures hitting fresh 2019 highs amid U.S. sanctions against Venezuela and Iran and supply cuts led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). Brent pushed above $65 per barrel for the first time in 2019, before edging back to $64.91 a barrel by 0143 GMT. That was still 0.5 percent above the last close.
- There is a one-in-four chance of a U.S. recession in the next 12 months, a scenario that should keep the Federal Reserve from raising interest rates next month, according to a Reuters poll of economists who now expect only one rate hike this year. Given a global economic slowdown and a dimming outlook for U.S. growth, economists said the Fed’s tightening cycle will likely draw to a halt before July.
- U.S. fund investors added another $18.7 billion to money market funds during the latest week, likely putting the low- risk funds on track for a third straight quarter of positive demand, Lipper data showed. Money market funds based in the United States have taken in nearly $29 billion so far in 2019 after pulling in nearly $209 billion during the last half of 2018, Lipper said. The research service’s latest data covered the seven days through Feb. 13
- In January, the Federal Reserve delivered what investors took as a kind of love letter, a rate-hike pause that sent stock markets soaring. On Valentine’s Day, U.S. central bankers offered tender missives of a different sort. “Roses are red, Blah blah blah blah,” Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari, one of the Fed’s most ardent doves, tweeted early on Thursday. “Blah blah blah blah blah, There’s still slack in the labor market.” The Chicago Fed went for a more Shakespearean style, tweeting, “To raise, or not to raise? That is the question.”.